Scenario Planning Development for Public Transportation in Jakarta to Achieve Net Zero Emission

Abstract

Indonesia is one of the countries that participated in the Paris Agreement, the international pact concerned with reducing global warming growth by targeting to achieve Net Zero Emission (NZE) in 2060 or earlier. One of the sectors that can be implied to reduce the emissions produced in the transportation sector. This research aimed to identify the challenges and plausible scenarios for public transportation in Jakarta in the upcoming ten years to achieve net zero emissions. The method used in this study was qualitative by interviewing several stakeholders. The interview results were analyzed and written into a transformative scenario. The sequence of scenarios is implemented based on urgency to achieve the ideal situation according to the interconnection analysis of each factor with high impact and uncertainty. It results in five scenarios, namely 1) Gridlock and Pollution, 2) Stopping at Red Light, 3) Green Light to Go, 4) Getting There, and 5) Green and Connected. Therefore, it is expected that the public transportation providers cooperate with the Government, regulators, and firms related to their operation to achieve net zero emission in 2032.

Keywords: Scenario Planning; Public Transportation; Net Zero Emission.